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2025-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Belmont Bruins Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 โœ— (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - โœ—

Actual: Bradley Braves -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Lundblade 40 8-15 8-13 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 25 12 +7.4
Jonathan Pierre 36 5-13 2-6 5-9 7 5 1 0 2 17 15 +7.4
Carter Whitt 36 6-13 2-4 0-2 4 4 3 0 3 14 9 +1.2
Isaiah Walker 35 5-8 1-1 2-2 5 3 3 0 2 13 14 +0.0
Brigham Rogers 23 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 0 9 +7.2
Brody Peebles 17 4-6 2-4 1-1 0 1 1 0 1 11 6 +6.1
Aidan Noyes 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 +3.1
Jake Dykstra 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Win Miller 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +6.0

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Davis 34 2-6 1-3 2-2 8 7 1 1 3 7 15 -
Darius Hannah 34 4-6 0-0 1-2 10 3 2 0 2 9 16 -7.0
Duke Deen 33 4-9 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 11 5 -6.8
Zek Montgomery 30 4-10 2-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 5 -6.9
Almar Atlason 26 11-15 6-9 0-2 6 2 1 2 3 28 21 -1.1
Jaquan Johnson 19 3-6 2-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 8 6 +2.0
Ahmet Jonovic 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -6.1
Demarion Burch 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.1
Corey Thomas 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3.1

* = starter