Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.3% | 16.7% | -8.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -10 (65-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Mascari | 40 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +1.8 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 40 | 11-17 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | -0.4 |
| Daniel Abreu | 40 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Isaia Howard | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Tavion Banks | 26 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | +4.1 |
| Kael Combs | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.5 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Cam Manyawu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Nate Ferguson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis Jr. | 40 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Ali Dibba | 38 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 35 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Drew Steffe | 34 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | +7.6 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Jorge Moreno | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Davion Sykes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
* = starter