Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Ferguson | 39 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | -2.5 |
| JaCobi Wood | 37 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 16 | -6.4 |
| Terence Harcum | 32 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -12.9 |
| Kylen Milton | 26 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -12.2 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Nick Ellington | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13.9 |
| Alden Applewhite | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Justin Morgan | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshawn Comer | 40 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 13-14 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | +6.9 |
| Joshua Hughes | 36 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Gabriel Pozzato | 36 | 10-14 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 21 | +7.7 |
| Tanner Cuff | 36 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | +7.7 |
| Connor Turnbull | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +6.0 |
| Michael Day | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +6.4 |
| Gui Tesch | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Kaia Berridge | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
* = starter