Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Walker | 38 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -11.1 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 32 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 15 | -10.2 |
| Carter Whitt | 29 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Sam Orme | 23 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | +17.9 |
| Aidan Noyes | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Brigham Rogers | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -14.7 |
| Brody Peebles | 16 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Jake Dykstra | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Win Miller | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 38 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | +11.1 |
| Dalton Banks | 33 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Landon Wolf | 26 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Chase Walker | 25 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | +11.5 |
| Jordan Davis | 23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +13.1 |
| Ty Pence | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Jack Daugherty | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Cameron Barnes | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Caden Boser | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
* = starter