Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -4 (75-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis Jr. | 39 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 11-11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Ali Dibba | 38 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +15.5 |
| Drew Steffe | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.0 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 20 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -4.6 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +13.4 |
| Jorge Moreno | 14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Davion Sykes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.8 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Schwieger | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -3.3 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 33 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -5.9 |
| All Wright | 32 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | -8.5 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 31 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -5.9 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 15 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Devon Ellis | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Justus McNair | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.1 |
* = starter