Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -18 (77-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Whitt | 37 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +28.8 |
| Isaiah Walker | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +23.4 |
| Aidan Noyes | 23 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +22.4 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Sam Orme | 20 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +15.1 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 18 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | +18.1 |
| Brody Peebles | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +15.8 |
| Brigham Rogers | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +9.9 |
| Win Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Keith Robbins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Jake Dykstra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Ferguson | 37 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -19.7 |
| JaCobi Wood | 34 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 11 | -28.4 |
| Terence Harcum | 33 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -20.1 |
| Nick Ellington | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 15 | -26.5 |
| Kylen Milton | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -12.4 |
| Justin Morgan | 20 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -13.7 |
| Alden Applewhite | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -8.4 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter