Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +10 (81-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | -7.3 |
| All Wright | 31 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | -13.8 |
| Carson Schwieger | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Justus McNair | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +8.0 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Devon Ellis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Louth Coulibaly | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 40 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 29 | +6.0 |
| Mitch Mascari | 40 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9.3 |
| Daniel Abreu | 33 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +10.9 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +9.1 |
| Tavion Banks | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Isaia Howard | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Kael Combs | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Cam Manyawu | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +8.1 |
* = starter