Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Ferguson | 40 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | +7.4 |
| JaCobi Wood | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Terence Harcum | 36 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +10.1 |
| Nick Ellington | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +10.1 |
| Kylen Milton | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -10.2 |
| Alden Applewhite | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Justin Morgan | 11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4.9 |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dibba | 39 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -2.2 |
| K. Davis Jr. | 38 | 6-16 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | -3.9 |
| Drew Steffe | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 29 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -5.1 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6.3 |
| Davion Sykes | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10.5 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.7 |
* = starter