Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Skobalj | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -8.2 |
| Jordan Mason | 31 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Javon Jackson | 30 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 11-13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 28 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -3.2 |
| Tyem Freeman | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +6.9 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 21 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | +8.8 |
| Saša Ciani | 20 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Ethan Pickett | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Koby Jeffries | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -0.2 |
| All Wright | 32 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +7.4 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 32 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +10.4 |
| Carson Schwieger | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kaspar Sepp | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +10.6 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Justus McNair | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Devon Ellis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
| C. Schwieger | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter