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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 90.5% 9.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Margin 84.3% 15.7% -9.2 โœ“ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 69.7% 30.3% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -18 (53-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mitch Mascari 37 5-7 5-7 4-5 2 0 2 0 1 19 15 -
Bennett Stirtz 36 7-17 1-6 1-3 3 9 2 1 3 16 11 -
Kael Combs 31 2-4 0-1 0-1 5 4 1 1 3 4 8 -4.1
Daniel Abreu 29 1-4 1-3 3-4 2 1 2 1 0 6 8 -3.9
Isaia Howard 18 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 6 5 -2.1
Tavion Banks 18 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 10 9 -
Cam Manyawu 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 6 8 -2.0
Isaiah Jackson 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -3.9
Nate Ferguson 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -4.1

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruno Alocen 30 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 0 +2.1
Samage Teel 27 4-12 1-5 4-5 3 3 0 0 2 13 5 +2.0
Kmani Doughty 27 1-7 0-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 4 -2 +2.1
Josiah LeGree 23 4-6 0-2 0-1 3 4 4 0 3 8 10 +2.1
Markus Harding 21 4-6 2-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 3 12 11 +4.1
Camp Wagner 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Aaron Gray 20 2-6 0-1 5-6 3 0 0 1 1 9 6 +4.1
Jaden Daughtry 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 +2.0
Jayan Walker 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 +2.1

* = starter