Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -13 (61-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zek Montgomery | 34 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +7.1 |
| Duke Deen | 34 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +8.4 |
| Christian Davis | 32 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Darius Hannah | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +6.1 |
| Corey Thomas | 21 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +7.9 |
| Connor Dillon | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +7.9 |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | +4.0 |
| Jaquan Johnson | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Almar Atlason | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood | 36 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -5.8 |
| AJ Ferguson | 35 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -6.3 |
| Kylen Milton | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | -7.8 |
| Nick Ellington | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -3.8 |
| Terence Harcum | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Alden Applewhite | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -5.9 |
| Justin Morgan | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -1.9 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter