Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.3% | 29.7% | -4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Walker | 35 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 33 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +1.5 |
| Carter Whitt | 33 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Brigham Rogers | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | -4.8 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -0.9 |
| Sam Orme | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +6.1 |
| Aidan Noyes | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Brody Peebles | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshawn Comer | 40 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Tanner Cuff | 36 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | +10.0 |
| Cameron Haffner | 33 | 9-15 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | -9.2 |
| Joshua Hughes | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +8.9 |
| Gabriel Pozzato | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +9.6 |
| Connor Turnbull | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -4.2 |
| Michael Day | 11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Gui Tesch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12.7 |
* = starter