Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | -0.4 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -22 (51-73). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis Jr. * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +19.3 |
| Ali Dibba * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +17.9 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | +17.4 |
| Drew Steffe * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +21.1 |
| Jarrett Hensley * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +18.3 |
| Davion Sykes | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +15.1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4 | +0.9 |
| Jorge Moreno | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Antwaun Massey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaxton King * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -12.9 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | -24.0 |
| Vincent Brady II * | 30 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -14.9 |
| Chase Martin * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | -12.0 |
| Wesley Oba * | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Jalen Hampton | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -20.0 |
| Logan Epes | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -10.9 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12.7 |
| Allen Udemadu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter