Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UIC Flames +4 (97-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum | 45 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Kylen Milton | 43 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -0.7 |
| AJ Ferguson | 39 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -1.4 |
| Nick Ellington | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -10.0 |
| JaCobi Wood | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -10.0 |
| Alden Applewhite | 29 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | +3.0 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 15 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Patrick Chew | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Jackson | 44 | 12-20 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Jordan Mason | 43 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Filip Skobalj | 41 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +19.4 |
| Tyem Freeman | 40 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 7-12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | +13.0 |
| Saša Ciani | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -7.3 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4.8 |
| Ethan Pickett | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9.0 |
* = starter