Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Schwieger | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -2.9 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8.1 |
| All Wright | 29 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | -13.4 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 25 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Justus McNair | 25 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 19 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Devon Ellis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Walker | 38 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +5.1 |
| Carter Whitt | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 30 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 29 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +6.5 |
| Sam Orme | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Brigham Rogers | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Aidan Noyes | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Brody Peebles | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +9.9 |
| Win Miller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.3 |
| Jake Dykstra | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter