Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Whitt | 35 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +9.9 |
| Brigham Rogers | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | +4.0 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 25 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Isaiah Walker | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Brody Peebles | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Aidan Noyes | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Sam Orme | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Jake Dykstra | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Win Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samage Teel | 33 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | -2.7 |
| Bruno Alocen | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Aaron Gray | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | -3.0 |
| Camp Wagner | 26 | 3-14 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -1 | +3.1 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 23 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | -2.6 |
| Kmani Doughty | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Markus Harding | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Jahni Summers | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Josiah LeGree | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Derek Vorst | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.6 |
* = starter