Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +3 (98-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samage Teel | 42 | 9-18 | 0-4 | 5-10 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | -4.3 |
| Camp Wagner | 32 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Kmani Doughty | 30 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Josiah LeGree | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Aaron Gray | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -3.8 |
| Bruno Alocen | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Markus Harding | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Derek Vorst | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Jahni Summers | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Jayan Walker | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Schwieger | 42 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 20 | +5.2 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 41 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | +3.3 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 41 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| All Wright | 34 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +7.6 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Devon Ellis | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Justus McNair | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.0 |
* = starter