Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✗ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +18 (69-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 38 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | -18.0 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -15.3 |
| Ty Pence | 23 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -11.0 |
| Landon Wolf | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -12.7 |
| Dalton Banks | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -9.7 |
| Jordan Davis | 21 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8.6 |
| Chase Walker | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -10.0 |
| Jack Daugherty | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Caden Boser | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Cade Norris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshawn Comer | 40 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | +18.0 |
| Cameron Haffner | 38 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +14.9 |
| Joshua Hughes | 34 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +17.1 |
| Connor Turnbull | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | +18.0 |
| Tanner Cuff | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +14.0 |
| Gui Tesch | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Kaia Berridge | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.0 |
| Michael Day | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter