Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bradley Braves -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mascari | 40 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -2.3 |
| B. Stirtz | 38 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-9 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | -5.3 |
| N. Ferguson | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +3.6 |
| T. Banks | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 15 | +0.4 |
| K. Combs | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +5.6 |
| I. Howard | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +3.3 |
| D. Abreu | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.5 |
| C. Manyawu | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.9 |
| I. Jackson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.7 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Deen | 37 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +4.2 |
| D. Hannah | 33 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Z. Montgomery | 33 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | +4.1 |
| C. Davis | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Burch | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | +7.5 |
| A. Atlason | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +5.3 |
| C. Thomas | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| C. Dillon | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.2 |
| C. Linke | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter