Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -17 (63-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Jackson | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +15.8 |
| Filip Skobalj | 28 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +11.2 |
| Jordan Mason | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +13.9 |
| Tyem Freeman | 24 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | +18.7 |
| Saša Ciani | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +13.6 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Ethan Pickett | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Koby Jeffries | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Josh Reaves | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Khaled Khaled | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez White | 35 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -15.8 |
| Zaxton King | 30 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | -19.8 |
| Vincent Brady II | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -19.1 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Wesley Oba | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Chase Martin | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -16.1 |
| Jalen Hampton | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Logan Epes | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +7.3 |
| Makhai Valentine | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Allen Udemadu | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Tommy Pinegar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
* = starter