Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -7 (59-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Ferguson | 40 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | +8.6 |
| Terence Harcum | 34 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +12.6 |
| Kylen Milton | 33 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +9.1 |
| JaCobi Wood | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | +3.8 |
| Nick Ellington | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +6.4 |
| Justin Morgan | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.0 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3.1 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Mascari | 40 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Bennett Stirtz | 40 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | -6.4 |
| Daniel Abreu | 40 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Cam Manyawu | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Isaia Howard | 23 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -6.7 |
| Tavion Banks | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Kael Combs | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nate Ferguson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter