๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model UIC Flames Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“

Actual: Belmont Bruins +5 (92-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javon Jackson 32 5-12 2-6 5-5 8 1 0 0 4 17 10 -2.8
Jordan Mason 31 2-6 0-1 2-2 0 5 1 0 2 6 4 -6.6
Tyem Freeman 30 4-10 3-9 2-4 5 3 1 0 0 13 12 +2.1
Filip Skobalj 27 3-11 2-9 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 2 -8.2
Ahmad Henderson II 26 7-13 4-8 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 18 10 +9.3
Saร…ยกa Ciani 22 3-6 0-1 4-6 6 1 4 0 2 10 13 +5.5
Ethan Pickett 18 3-3 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 1 2 7 4 -6.3
Modestas Kancleris 12 3-3 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 2 0 8 14 -1.4
Koby Jeffries 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carter Whitt 34 8-19 4-7 0-0 8 4 0 0 2 20 11 +9.2
Isaiah Walker 33 6-10 2-6 4-4 5 1 2 0 2 18 14 +16.6
Jonathan Pierre 32 7-14 3-7 5-7 8 4 2 0 2 22 20 -0.7
Tyler Lundblade 25 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -12.6
Brigham Rogers 22 3-7 0-0 2-2 10 3 2 0 4 8 12 +11.0
Sam Orme 22 1-4 1-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 7 7 +11.1
Drew Scharnowski 12 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 1 7 8 -7.1
Brody Peebles 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -10.7
Aidan Noyes 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 +4.0
Win Miller 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3.2

* = starter