Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Brady II | 39 | 12-21 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 19 | -4.6 |
| D. White | 37 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.6 |
| M. Osei-Bonsu | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -2.7 |
| W. Oba | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Z. King | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| C. Martin | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.6 |
| L. Epes | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| M. Valentine | 13 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4.0 |
| J. Hampton | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.9 |
| A. Udemadu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hannah | 33 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 21 | +5.7 |
| D. Deen | 32 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +1.0 |
| C. Davis | 31 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Z. Montgomery | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| C. Thomas | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -0.3 |
| D. Burch | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +2.7 |
| J. Johnson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +8.7 |
| A. Atlason | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| C. Linke | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.1 |
| C. Dillon | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.2 |
* = starter