Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Teel | 36 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| B. Alocen | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +0.3 |
| C. Wagner | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| J. Daughtry | 24 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 11 | +9.4 |
| M. Harding | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1.1 |
| K. Doughty | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -0.5 |
| A. Gray | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +6.5 |
| J. LeGree | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| J. Summers | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -0.1 |
| J. Walker | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.3 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Comer | 39 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 13 | -1.9 |
| J. Hughes | 37 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | -1.9 |
| T. Cuff | 36 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -2.9 |
| C. Haffner | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +1.6 |
| C. Turnbull | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +1.8 |
| T. Hundley | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.6 |
| M. Day | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
| K. Berridge | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3.9 |
| G. Tesch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
* = starter