Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -1 (72-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 37 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +1.8 |
| All Wright | 32 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Carson Schwieger | 26 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Kaspar Sepp | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +7.8 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +9.1 |
| Devon Ellis | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -3.0 |
| Justus McNair | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +1.1 |
| C. Schwieger | 5 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Isaiah Shaw | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Brady II | 36 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | -0.5 |
| Zaxton King | 34 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | -3.6 |
| Dez White | 33 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Logan Epes | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Wesley Oba | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -10.8 |
| Chase Martin | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | +6.2 |
| Makhai Valentine | 9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +6.1 |
| Allen Udemadu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter