Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UIC Flames +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 40 | 12-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 28 | -7.0 |
| Daniel Abreu | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Mitch Mascari | 34 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -4.6 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +1.7 |
| Cam Manyawu | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | -8.5 |
| Tavion Banks | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Nate Ferguson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Isaia Howard | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -4.1 |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Jackson | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +7.1 |
| Jordan Mason | 32 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +6.4 |
| Tyem Freeman | 32 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Filip Skobalj | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +19.3 |
| Ethan Pickett | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Saša Ciani | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -5.7 |
* = starter