Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +17 (57-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. White | 37 | 3-13 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -14.2 |
| V. Brady II | 36 | 1-12 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -15.3 |
| M. Osei-Bonsu | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -13.2 |
| Z. King | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -11.2 |
| C. Martin | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -7.1 |
| J. Hampton | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -15.1 |
| W. Oba | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| M. Downing-Rivers | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
| L. Epes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| A. Udemadu | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -7.0 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Haffner | 40 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | +17.3 |
| T. Comer | 40 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 9-12 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +17.3 |
| T. Cuff | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +17.3 |
| J. Hughes | 28 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -1.9 |
| C. Turnbull | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +19.2 |
| K. Berridge | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.1 |
| M. Day | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +10.0 |
| G. Tesch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
* = starter