Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Teel | 37 | 9-12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 26 | +1.2 |
| B. Alocen | 31 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -0.5 |
| J. Daughtry | 27 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +1.3 |
| K. Doughty | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +9.6 |
| C. Wagner | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.9 |
| J. LeGree | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2.1 |
| J. Walker | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +2.0 |
| J. Summers | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1.2 |
| D. Vorst | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| M. Alderink | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +1.1 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. White | 36 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 23 | -1.3 |
| Z. King | 34 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -0.4 |
| V. Brady II | 32 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -0.8 |
| J. Hampton | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -1.5 |
| M. Osei-Bonsu | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | -6.0 |
| C. Martin | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -8.5 |
| W. Oba | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10.7 |
| M. Valentine | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| A. Udemadu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter