Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Pozzato * | 40 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +2.6 |
| Tanner Cuff * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Tayshawn Comer * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Cameron Haffner * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Joshua Hughes * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Connor Turnbull | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +9.2 |
| Michael Day | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Trent Hundley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kaia Berridge | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 40 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 14 | -2.3 |
| AJ Ferguson * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Terence Harcum * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Kylen Milton * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -1.9 |
| Nick Ellington * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2.4 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Justin Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter