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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 63.5% 36.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 โœ— (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.6% 34.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.1% 45.9% - โœ—

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Obi Agbim 40 6-18 5-16 0-0 2 5 3 0 1 17 8 -5.3
Dontaie Allen 37 4-12 2-9 4-4 5 1 0 1 0 14 9 -3.0
Kobe Newton 35 5-12 5-11 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 15 5 -8.6
Cole Henry 26 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 3 -6.6
Jordan Nesbitt 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 0 5 +8.6
Touko Tainamo 20 1-4 0-0 1-4 8 3 1 1 0 3 12 -4.6
Scottie Ebube 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 4 +1.8
Matija Belic 6 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 -2.2
Abou Magassa 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.1

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zaon Collins 39 4-10 1-4 6-8 4 4 2 0 2 15 13 +4.1
Alex Crawford 39 5-12 0-3 5-6 11 2 0 0 3 15 13 +6.2
Brian Amuneke 36 3-11 3-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 11 4 +12.2
Elijah Price 32 4-9 2-5 6-10 13 0 1 1 4 16 18 +8.1
Mor Seck 25 1-3 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 1 3 8 +13.7
Jasir Tremble 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -9.5
Pierre Geneste Jr. 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -8.6

* = starter