Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaston Willis | 36 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | -2.7 |
| Braeden Carrington | 35 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -8.7 |
| Dwon Odom | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | -2.6 |
| Tyshawn Archie | 25 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Justin Amadi | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Ian Smikle | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Matthew Reed | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +11.1 |
| Jaye Nash | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Tyler Behrend | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Jesaiah McWright | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 35 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 18 | +4.4 |
| Dallan Coleman | 33 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 26 | +6.3 |
| Darius Johnson | 30 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +11.2 |
| Keyshawn Hall | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -8.7 |
| Benny Williams | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +10.0 |
| D. Johnson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Hendricks | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Nils Machowski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Rokas Jocius | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.5 |
* = starter