Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Ruedinger | 36 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -15.1 |
| Marcus Hall | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -15.5 |
| Foster Wonders | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Mac Wrecke | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -15.0 |
| Jeremiah Johnson | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | -16.3 |
| Anthony Roy | 21 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Isaiah Miranda | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Roee Oselka | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Ben Tweedy | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -9.4 |
| C.J. O'Hara | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Pohto | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +16.5 |
| Jason Fontenet II | 30 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +15.1 |
| Cole Anderson | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +17.7 |
| Stephan Swenson | 26 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | +18.4 |
| Deuce Turner | 25 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | +9.5 |
| Max Murrell | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Zion Sensley | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Chris Mitchell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
* = starter