Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Anderson | 38 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -11.9 |
| Kenny Pohto | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | -12.1 |
| Jason Fontenet II | 30 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -10.2 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Deuce Turner | 25 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | -10.0 |
| Stephan Swenson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Ariel Bland | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Evans Kipruto | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Chris Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Zion Sensley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez White | 39 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 11-12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | +12.1 |
| Vincent Brady II | 35 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +12.1 |
| Zaxton King | 34 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +7.1 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +12.0 |
| Chase Martin | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.2 |
| Jalen Hampton | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +8.3 |
| Wesley Oba | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Allen Udemadu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Logan Epes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter