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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons San Diego Toreros Spread Result
Elo 97.3% 2.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 95.0% 5.0% - โœ“
Margin 97.0% 3.0% -19.1 โœ“ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 80.8% 19.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“

Actual: San Diego Toreros -6 (71-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones 34 5-8 0-1 7-7 3 6 1 0 3 17 16 -0.8
Chris Howell 33 3-7 0-1 5-8 3 0 3 0 0 11 10 -4.7
Tyler McGhie 33 9-20 7-10 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 27 11 -1.6
Hayden Gray 32 4-8 0-1 3-4 3 2 7 0 1 11 14 -2.7
Nordin Kapic 30 1-5 0-4 3-4 7 1 5 0 6 5 7 +2.2
Justin Rochelin 19 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 1 3 0 1 3 5 -4.4
Aidan Burke 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1.1
Cade Pendleton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 2 -4.2

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deven Dahlke 37 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 8 7 +6.5
Santiago Trouet 35 4-7 0-1 1-1 20 3 1 1 3 9 24 +3.5
Bendji Pierre 33 3-11 3-9 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 9 1 +11.9
Kjay Bradley Jr. 23 3-10 1-4 0-1 4 3 1 0 6 7 -1 +2.1
Steven Jamerson II 20 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 3 7 5 +1.6
Joey Chammaa 17 5-7 1-3 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 14 8 +3.7
Tony Duckett 13 4-6 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 2 +4.8
David Simon 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -2 -0.8
Neel Beniwal 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.5
Colby Brooks 3 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 -0.7
Jackson Gaffney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.1

* = starter