Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -21 (55-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Moore Jr. * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +0.0 |
| C. Ings * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Darden * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +21.5 |
| J. Myers * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +16.2 |
| T. Bladen * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +21.1 |
| S. McMahon | 26 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +20.1 |
| K. Mading | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | +21.2 |
| D. Camara | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| T. Jones | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +4.1 |
| J. Leaks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Tamba * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -21.5 |
| L. DeBruhl * | 30 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -13.4 |
| Ty Johnson * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | -21.1 |
| S. Lose * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2.3 |
| N. Rocak * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -9.2 |
| C. Sevilla | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -17.0 |
| C. Daughtery Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -9.9 |
| I. Chappell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| N. Cooper | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4.1 |
* = starter