Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | β (33.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | β |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +39 (85-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 27 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | -24.3 |
| Niko Rocak | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -35.2 |
| Ty Johnson | 25 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -5 | -22.3 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -36.8 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -15.7 |
| Pablo Tamba | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -9.5 |
| Nils Cooper | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -9.9 |
| Sione Lose | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -13.7 |
| Derek Sangster | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -11.7 |
| Jamaal Unuakhalu | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Todorovic | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +39.3 |
| Moe Odum | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +38.2 |
| Dovydas Butka | 27 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +36.2 |
| Jaxon Olvera | 26 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +21.5 |
| D. DoΕΎic | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Taj Au-Duke | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +9.7 |
| Boubacar Coulibaly | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Alonso Faure | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +6.8 |
| Kyle Braun | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Mike Saunders Jr. | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.8 |
| David Mager | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +6.8 |
* = starter