Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +33 (90-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sione Lose * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -30.2 |
| Pablo Tamba * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -31.4 |
| Ty Johnson * | 20 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | -27.2 |
| Niko Rocak * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -31.2 |
| Leo DeBruhl * | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Connor Sevilla | 36 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | -22.2 |
| Nils Cooper | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4.9 |
| Jamaal Unuakhalu | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Derek Sangster | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liutauras Lelevicius * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +33.1 |
| Damarco Minor * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | +33.3 |
| Parsa Fallah * | 28 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +27.4 |
| Nate Kingz * | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +25.2 |
| Michael Rataj * | 23 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | +31.9 |
| Josiah Lake II | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +16.3 |
| Isaiah Sy | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Johan Munch | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Ja'Quavis Williford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Maxim Logue | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Thomas Ndong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Matthew Marsh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter