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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 โœ“ (24.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado State Rams +27 (93-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Martinez 30 4-9 1-3 8-9 2 1 3 1 4 17 11 -15.4
Jordy Barnes 25 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 11 8 -24.1
Drake Allen 23 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 6 -23.4
Mason Falslev 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 4 3 -19.4
Tucker Anderson 20 2-6 1-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 2 7 1 -13.2
Deyton Albury 18 5-9 2-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 12 9 +1.4
Dexter Akanno 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.7
Isaac Davis 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -7.0
Aubin Gateretse 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 +4.4
Karson Templin 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -18.2
Isaac Johnson 6 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 5 -0.5
Jaxon Smith 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.1

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nique Clifford 35 10-14 4-5 2-2 6 9 1 2 2 26 28 +26.5
Jalen Lake 28 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 7 9 +24.4
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 25 7-9 3-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 18 14 +26.5
Bowen Born 22 5-7 3-5 5-5 0 2 1 0 0 18 14 +26.3
Kyan. Evans 19 4-8 3-5 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 15 9 -1.1
Rashaan Mbemba 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 +15.1
Ethan Morton 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 3 +3.3
Keshawn Williams 14 2-5 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 5 2 +3.9
Kyle Jorgensen 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 3 0 0 +4.3
Nikola Djapa 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +0.7
Luke Murphy 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0
Jaden Steppe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter