Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev | 37 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 18 | +1.8 |
| Ian Martinez | 37 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Dexter Akanno | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Drake Allen | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Karson Templin | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Tucker Anderson | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Deyton Albury | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Isaac Johnson | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Aubin Gateretse | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Isaac Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 40 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Jovan Milicevic | 37 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Tru Washington | 36 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 23 | -1.8 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Noland | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Braden Appelhans | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter