Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -19 (63-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 36 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +18.6 |
| Tru Washington | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +6.4 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +10.3 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 26 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | +20.0 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +4.8 |
| C.J. Noland | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +17.7 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 10 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +14.8 |
| Kayde Dotson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Braden Appelhans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +12.0 |
| Quinton Webb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4.0 |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -16.4 |
| Drake Allen | 31 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 6 | -20.2 |
| Dexter Akanno | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -7.0 |
| Deyton Albury | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -9.1 |
| Ian Martinez | 25 | 4-12 | 0-7 | 2-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -4.6 |
| Karson Templin | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -13.2 |
| Aubin Gateretse | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Jordy Barnes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -16.7 |
| Isaac Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Tucker Anderson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.8 |
| Jaxon Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Isaac Davis | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter