Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 40 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +3.1 |
| Julian Rishwain | 36 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | +1.2 |
| Jalen Hill | 36 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Jaden Henley | 31 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Jailen Bedford | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev | 37 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Dexter Akanno | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Ian Martinez | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Deyton Albury | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | -0.8 |
| Jordy Barnes | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Karson Templin | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Drake Allen | 16 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Aubin Gateretse | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tucker Anderson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Isaac Johnson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaac Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter