Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cardenas | 39 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +3.0 |
| T. Degenhart | 38 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | -2.5 |
| A. Meadow | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -5.6 |
| C. Lockett Jr. | 21 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.7 |
| O. Stanley | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -5.1 |
| J. Buchanan | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +4.8 |
| J. Bowie | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3.4 |
| P. Carmichael | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| D. Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| RJ Keene | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.8 |
| E. Ugbo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Falslev | 39 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +2.9 |
| I. Martinez | 34 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +3.7 |
| D. Akanno | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +14.0 |
| A. Gateretse | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +8.7 |
| D. Allen | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +7.3 |
| K. Templin | 17 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +3.4 |
| D. Albury | 17 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -4.7 |
| T. Anderson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.6 |
| J. Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.8 |
* = starter