Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.6 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +6 (89-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaon Collins | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -6.2 |
| Mykell Robinson | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -2.5 |
| Jalen Weaver | 34 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Alex Crawford | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 18 | -3.4 |
| Jasir Tremble | 32 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Mor Seck | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Elijah Price | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +9.8 |
| Brian Amuneke | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -5.5 |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Akanno | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +18.0 |
| Ian Martinez | 29 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Mason Falslev | 28 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Drake Allen | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | +20.5 |
| Karson Templin | 25 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 21 | -1.8 |
| Deyton Albury | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Aubin Gateretse | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Tucker Anderson | 14 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -16.1 |
| Jordy Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -13.7 |
| Isaac Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
* = starter