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2024-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Log Adjusted 22.6% 77.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Martinez 37 4-10 0-4 3-4 6 5 0 0 6 11 6 +19.4
D. Akanno 32 1-4 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 3 8 +15.9
M. Falslev 29 8-11 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 18 13 +15.8
A. Gateretse 24 5-7 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 0 2 10 7 +10.4
J. Barnes 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 3 0 2 6 8 +2.5
D. Albury 17 1-2 0-0 4-4 2 3 0 0 0 6 9 +14.9
K. Templin 15 5-9 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 13 9 +0.3
I. Johnson 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 +5.4
T. Anderson 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 +1.2

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Barrett 40 2-4 2-3 2-3 7 2 1 0 0 8 14 -12.0
A. Marciulionis 38 4-13 2-8 2-2 1 8 2 0 3 12 7 -10.3
M. Saxen 34 7-11 0-0 4-8 6 4 3 0 5 18 15 -13.3
P. Murauskas 29 4-10 1-4 0-1 4 1 1 0 2 9 3 -10.6
M. Lewis 16 4-8 3-5 1-3 1 1 2 0 1 12 7 -7.8
J. Ross 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -12.4
J. Dent 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 2 +9.0
A. Hardaway 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 +0.0
H. Wessels 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. McKeever 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.3
C. Bennett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2.1

* = starter