Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Martinez | 37 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | +19.4 |
| D. Akanno | 32 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | +15.9 |
| M. Falslev | 29 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +15.8 |
| A. Gateretse | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +10.4 |
| J. Barnes | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +2.5 |
| D. Albury | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +14.9 |
| K. Templin | 15 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +0.3 |
| I. Johnson | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.4 |
| T. Anderson | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.2 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Barrett | 40 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -12.0 |
| A. Marciulionis | 38 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -10.3 |
| M. Saxen | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | -13.3 |
| P. Murauskas | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -10.6 |
| M. Lewis | 16 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -7.8 |
| J. Ross | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -12.4 |
| J. Dent | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +9.0 |
| A. Hardaway | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.0 |
| H. Wessels | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. McKeever | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| C. Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
* = starter