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2024-12-17

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Utah State Aggies -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Gray 34 5-6 1-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 3 15 14 +1.7
T. McGhie 34 9-18 6-14 2-2 6 0 3 0 0 26 17 +2.4
C. Howell 32 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 6 1 0 4 4 7 +4.3
A. Tait-Jones 32 5-9 0-0 10-12 6 1 1 1 4 20 16 +1.1
N. Kapic 31 1-6 1-5 3-4 5 0 3 0 3 6 5 -1.7
J. Rochelin 16 1-3 0-2 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 +0.2
A. Burke 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.4
C. Pendleton 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 4 +1.7

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Falslev 35 4-11 2-4 6-9 9 5 4 0 2 16 21 +1.0
I. Martinez 33 4-17 2-11 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 12 -4 +9.4
D. Albury 26 5-7 2-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 15 11 +1.2
D. Akanno 25 1-7 0-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 -2 -5.5
T. Anderson 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 2 -2 +4.4
A. Gateretse 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 4 7 +0.4
K. Templin 19 5-7 2-3 6-9 6 0 2 1 0 18 20 +1.6
J. Barnes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 0 5 -1.7
I. Johnson 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter