Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Gray | 34 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1.7 |
| T. McGhie | 34 | 9-18 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 17 | +2.4 |
| C. Howell | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | +4.3 |
| A. Tait-Jones | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 16 | +1.1 |
| N. Kapic | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1.7 |
| J. Rochelin | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +0.2 |
| A. Burke | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.4 |
| C. Pendleton | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.7 |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Falslev | 35 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | +1.0 |
| I. Martinez | 33 | 4-17 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -4 | +9.4 |
| D. Albury | 26 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +1.2 |
| D. Akanno | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -5.5 |
| T. Anderson | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +4.4 |
| A. Gateretse | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +0.4 |
| K. Templin | 19 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | +1.6 |
| J. Barnes | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1.7 |
| I. Johnson | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter