Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +14 (93-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Madlock * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Amarr Knox * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +3.0 |
| CJ Hines * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Micah Octave * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -4.6 |
| Ubong Okon * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Tyler Mack | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -9.3 |
| D'Ante Bass | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Mario Andrews | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Jasteven Walker | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Micah Simpson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -9.1 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
| J. Kaego | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | +8.4 |
| Jailen Bedford * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +15.5 |
| Jeremiah Cherry * | 26 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 27 | +8.9 |
| Jaden Henley * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +6.8 |
| Jalen Hill * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Julian Rishwain | 24 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +10.4 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 18 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Rob Whaley Jr. | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -4.8 |
| Jace Whiting | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.4 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.4 |
* = starter