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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 73.7% 26.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% - ✓
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -3.0 ✓ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% - ✓
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% - ✓

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -3 (91-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Latrell Davis 48 11-18 6-11 2-2 6 4 4 0 3 30 23 +0.2
Will McClendon 45 3-12 2-6 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 10 4 +1.0
Josh Uduje 42 10-21 3-9 7-8 11 4 2 2 4 30 24 +5.7
D. Yap 40 5-12 2-7 1-1 4 4 0 0 1 13 8 +7.3
Chol Marial 31 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 3 0 4 12 +10.6
Jermaine Washington 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -9.5
Robert Vaihola 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 4 2 -10.6
S. Vasquez 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 1 +1.1

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Weaver 47 8-16 1-2 6-8 6 5 0 1 3 23 16 -0.4
Alex Crawford 46 3-16 0-2 0-1 6 1 1 1 3 6 -4 -0.1
Zaon Collins 46 8-20 1-3 5-6 8 6 3 0 2 22 17 +0.8
Elijah Price 41 5-11 0-2 7-8 7 0 3 2 2 17 16 +10.1
Brian Amuneke 41 7-11 3-5 2-2 7 0 4 0 2 19 17 +0.9
Mor Seck 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -8.3
Pierre Geneste Jr. 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -2.2
Jasir Tremble 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.2

* = starter