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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 77.4% 22.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 88.6% 11.4% - ✗
Margin 89.0% 11.0% -11.5 ✗ (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.6% 34.4% - ✗
Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 73.3% 26.7% - ✗

Actual: San José State Spartans +1 (71-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Dent 34 7-14 0-2 3-4 2 5 1 0 1 17 10 +3.1
Filip Borovicanin 29 1-7 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 2 0 -4.7
Mustapha Amzil 26 4-9 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 1 +3.5
Tru Washington 25 2-7 0-2 2-3 3 2 5 0 0 6 9 -7.5
C.J. Noland 22 1-9 0-2 1-2 5 2 0 1 1 3 1 +16.0
Nelly Junior Joseph 20 7-10 0-1 6-8 6 0 0 1 0 20 17 +3.2
Atiki Ally Atiki 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 5 7 -8.1
Jovan Milicevic 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 7 -7.4
Kayde Dotson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.0
Braden Appelhans 4 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 +0.9
Ibrahima Sacko 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will McClendon 36 4-9 4-7 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 12 9 +3.9
Josh Uduje 34 5-13 1-3 1-1 8 1 0 0 2 12 6 +3.6
Robert Vaihola 31 9-16 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 1 2 18 11 +7.7
Sadaidriene Hall 29 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 2 5 -0.4
Jermaine Washington 28 5-10 3-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 13 3 +10.8
Latrell Davis 21 3-6 1-1 4-6 6 2 2 0 1 11 14 -3.3
D. Yap 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 0 -3 -6.7
Sadraque NgaNga 9 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 -0.6
Chol Marial 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.0

* = starter