Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Tarlac | 37 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | -9.2 |
| J. Hyder | 36 | 7-19 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | +0.2 |
| M. Riniker | 35 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -10.8 |
| P. Bandelj | 34 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -4.3 |
| O. Koonce | 34 | 10-17 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 26 | -2.1 |
| G. Vasilic | 30 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -2 | -1.8 |
| E. Menzies | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -3.8 |
| H. Jory | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| A. Price Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.3 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Davis | 37 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +10.8 |
| S. Hall | 35 | 14-21 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 29 | +7.5 |
| W. McClendon | 34 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | -2.1 |
| D. Yap | 33 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -4 | +6.0 |
| J. Uduje | 32 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | +9.8 |
| P. Goodarzi | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +19.8 |
| S. NgaNga | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -15.8 |
| S. Vasquez | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12.2 |
| C. Marial | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter