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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% -
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% -
Points Off/Def 37.9% 62.1% -

Actual: San José State Spartans +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Tarlac 37 6-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 1 1 12 16 -9.2
J. Hyder 36 7-19 3-13 1-2 2 4 0 0 2 18 3 +0.2
M. Riniker 35 5-5 0-0 1-4 5 6 1 0 3 11 15 -10.8
P. Bandelj 34 6-10 2-4 2-4 7 2 0 0 2 16 13 -4.3
O. Koonce 34 10-17 4-6 8-8 8 3 3 0 3 32 26 -2.1
G. Vasilic 30 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 8 -2 -1.8
E. Menzies 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -3.8
H. Jory 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.4
A. Price Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +6.3

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Davis 37 7-11 1-3 6-10 4 2 1 0 2 21 15 +10.8
S. Hall 35 14-21 2-5 3-5 11 4 3 0 1 33 29 +7.5
W. McClendon 34 4-10 3-7 6-6 6 2 0 0 0 17 15 -2.1
D. Yap 33 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 3 -4 +6.0
J. Uduje 32 10-18 1-4 2-4 10 1 2 1 3 23 16 +9.8
P. Goodarzi 20 1-4 1-4 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 +19.8
S. NgaNga 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -15.8
S. Vasquez 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -12.2
C. Marial 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter