Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 36 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | +6.7 |
| Nick Boyd | 34 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +0.7 |
| BJ Davis | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Taj Degourville | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.5 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -12.7 |
| Miles Heide | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -10.4 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +11.9 |
| Kimo Ferrari | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Rishwain | 39 | 9-13 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | +4.2 |
| Jalen Hill | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Jailen Bedford | 29 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Jaden Henley | 29 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +0.2 |
* = starter